News & Analysis

Economy, 2024 Election Ed Orazem Economy, 2024 Election Ed Orazem

The Question of Inflation

There is a lot of disinformation swirling about the cause of inflation. One of the most perplexing aspects of this to me is that of all common targets for blame (government spending, supply chain problems, business monopolies), one, and in my view the most important one, is left out: Federal Reserve policy.

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Climate Change Is Not Waiting for the COVID-19 Vaccine

While the world waits for a vaccine to give us relief from the pandemic, global warming and the climatic consequences are accelerating. This rapid pace of change required that our research on the subject, first completed only in 2018, be fundamentally rewritten. Here is a brief summary of what we learned.

(882 words, four-minute read)

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Fiscal Policy, Economy ed orazem Fiscal Policy, Economy ed orazem

This Bubble Too Shall Burst

With problems abounding here and now, it is hard to get excited about a problem that is in potential, in the future, hard to understand, and worst of all, requires current sacrifice to address. Fat chance of selling that. Ever. Nonetheless, here goes.

(879 words, four-minute read)

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2020 Campaign, Economy, Trade, 2024 Election ed orazem 2020 Campaign, Economy, Trade, 2024 Election ed orazem

Does Anyone Believe in Free Trade?

The Democratic presidential candidates have vigorously criticized President Trump for his imposition of tariffs on China, arguing that they have unfairly hurt farmers, producers, and cost jobs. And yet, when asked specifically during the September 10 debate whether they would lift them “on day one,” they all ducked or said no. Specifically, Mayor Buttigieg said he would have “a strategy that includes the tariffs as leverage.” Why is free trade so hard to support? Let’s try to be fact-based and rational.

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Fiscal Policy, Economy ed orazem Fiscal Policy, Economy ed orazem

$22 Trillion and Rising—Does Anyone Care?

Last week, when the federal deficit surpassed $22 trillion, there were several references in the media, most of which observed that no one seemed to care. It was just yesterday that the Republican party, led by Paul Ryan, criticized President Obama on what seemed like a daily basis over the “debt crisis staring us in the face” and for a national debt that was “out of control.” But now, no one seems to care. Larry Kudlow, the director of the President’s National Economic Council, dismissed it as not “a problem.” So what sense are we to make of this? Let’s try to be fact-based and rational.

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